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COVID-19 Summer Surge Is Here

COVID-19 Summer Surge Is Here

Summers nowadays bring not only anticipated sweltering heat waves, but also predicted seasonal surges in COVID-19 infections.

The latest data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) suggests that the summer COVID-19 wave is now upon us. The newest highly transmissible variant leading a significant amount of infection is LB.1, which is causing an estimated 1 in 10 new cases.

“As of July 2, 2024, we estimate that COVID-19 infections are growing or likely growing in 39 states and territories,” reports the CDC, adding that no states right now are seeing a decline or likely decline, while in 10 states, infections are stable or uncertain.

For the week ending July 6, positive COVID-19 tests crept up by 0.8 percent, COVID-related emergency room visits jumped by more than 23 percent, and hospitalizations increased by just over 13 percent.

“We’re seeing an anticipated summer bump,” says William Schaffner, MD, an infectious disease specialist and a professor of preventive medicine and health policy at the Vanderbilt University School of Medicine in Nashville, Tennessee. “COVID doesn’t disappear during the summertime the way influenza does. If we look back over our past two years, we’ve had an increase during the summer months. It abates again in the fall, and then you get a real seasonal increase during the winter.”

After a busy July 4 weekend, when millions of Americans were traveling, and families and friends gathered across the nation, COVID-19 numbers may be expected to rise even higher.

“COVID figures are trending up due to a constellation of factors, including more people congregating close together, more people traveling, and more people going indoors to escape extreme heat,” says Peter Chin-Hong, MD, an infectious disease specialist and a professor of medicine at the University of California San Francisco School of Medicine.

A new suite of variants and waning vaccine immunity may also be contributing to the problem, adds Dr. Chin-Hong.

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